BRICs and FAANGs Not long ago, Wall Street’s favorite acronym was BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China). The BRIC countries were hyped by many of the big brokerage firms as an investment opportunity with profound promise. As a group, the BRICs were believed to have attractive natural resources, a young overall population, and years of robust growth ahead. Did the BRICs live up to the … [Read more...]

Is Your State Prepared for the Next Downturn? Federal deficits and debt are a perennial worry for many investors, but while a burgeoning U.S. government is a long-term problem, public finance at the state level may be the more immediate concern. The Wall Street Journal recently ran a feature highlighting the troubling condition of state budgets. Even nine years after the last recession, many … [Read more...]

In my January letter, I commented on how it would not be a surprise to see the Federal Reserve raise the Federal Funds rate four times in 2018. When the year started, the Fed indicated it would look to target a total of three hikes this year. In mid-June, as expected, the Fed raised rates for a second time in 2018, bringing the Fed Funds target rate up to 2%. The two additional rate hikes should … [Read more...]

Good Economy, Strong Earnings, But Markets Struggle The unemployment rate matched an almost five-decade low of 3.8% in May. The only other time in the last 48 years unemployment has been this low was at the height of the dotcom bubble. We are experiencing a best-of-the-best labor market. Economic growth remains strong as well. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is forecasted … [Read more...]

Searching for Predictability and Consistency Recently, I spoke to a long-time client who has been with Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. since August 1995. When we have telephone conversations to review his portfolio, there is often no need for me to schedule the appointment on my calendar. That’s because for the past 12 years we’ve spoken on a Friday at 10:30 a.m. Naples, Florida, time and 7:30 … [Read more...]