September 2019 Client Letter
It’s easy to declare a recession is on the horizon. The economy, like the markets, is cyclical, and eventually, our economy will go from a growth path to one of contraction…
On August 15, the 10-year Treasury note offered a yield of 1.52%. The S&P 500 offered a yield of 1.83% and the NASDAQ composite a measly 0.97%. Think those yields are low? More than $15 trillion of government bonds worldwide now trade at negative yields, with 10-year German government bonds recently hitting a low of -0.71%.
You may have concerns about today’s environment and how a variety of risks could impact the long-term health of your finances. One of the biggest concerns we all face is interest rates that have been so low for so long.
Jim Grant writes in his Grant’s Interest Rate Observer newsletter, “almost $13 trillion in debt world-wide is priced to yield less than nothing. Mostly, it’s just a little less than nothing, but, still, a little less than nothing isn’t much to retire on.” He calls this a 4,000-year low in bond yields.
The first half of 2019 is over, and the current investment environment appears more uncertain today than it was at this time last year. While it’s difficult to judge how the remainder of the year will play out, we’ve decided to hand out letter grades to some of the current storylines that may impact financial markets and your investment portfolio.
Would You Rather Have $1 Million or a Penny That Doubles Daily for 30 Days?
Long-time client Tom recently emailed me the following question and answer. I have seen various versions of this in the past, and I always enjoy rereading it. This piece appears to have been from the company Grow, www.grow.acorns.com, which has partnered with CNBC to deliver educational features on developing successful money habits.
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